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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 69.53%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 13.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.38%) and 1-3 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
13.46% ( 0.06) | 17.02% ( 0.2) | 69.53% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 58.26% ( -0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.77% ( -0.87) | 32.23% ( 0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.17% ( -1.02) | 53.83% ( 1.02) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.58% ( -0.5) | 36.42% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.79% ( -0.51) | 73.21% ( 0.52) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.64% ( -0.27) | 8.36% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.9% ( -0.69) | 29.1% ( 0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 13.46% | 1-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 17.02% | 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 7.84% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 7.76% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 4.86% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 4.81% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.08) 1-5 @ 2.41% ( -0.08) 0-5 @ 2.39% ( -0.05) 2-5 @ 1.22% ( -0.06) 1-6 @ 1% ( -0.05) 0-6 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.44% Total : 69.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |