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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
43.08% ( 0.29) | 26.25% ( -0.41) | 30.67% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 51.97% ( 1.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.57% ( 1.68) | 52.43% ( -1.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.89% ( 1.42) | 74.1% ( -1.43) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.85% ( 0.89) | 24.15% ( -0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.53% ( 1.25) | 58.47% ( -1.26) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.52% ( 0.95) | 31.47% ( -0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.14% ( 1.08) | 67.86% ( -1.09) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
1-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.44) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.69% Total : 43.08% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.52) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |