Sparta3 - 1Sittard
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, October 23 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, October 22 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam have turned a corner on their own patch in recent weeks, winning the last four by a combined score of 11-2. We are tipping the hosts to get the job done once again, albeit by a narrow margin this time around. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 18.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
59.89% ( -0.32) | 21.95% ( 0.11) | 18.15% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.07% ( -0.13) | 45.93% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.76% ( -0.12) | 68.24% ( 0.12) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.07% ( -0.14) | 14.92% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.68% ( -0.27) | 43.31% ( 0.27) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.96% ( 0.17) | 39.04% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.24% ( 0.16) | 75.76% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 59.89% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.95% | 0-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 18.15% |
