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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Fortuna Sittard

Sparta
3 - 1
Sittard

Verschueren (26', 83'), van Crooij (54' pen.)
Vriends (18')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Noslin (19')
Navarro (53'), Yilmaz (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 3-1 Sparta
Sunday, October 23 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-1 Sittard
Saturday, October 22 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 Fortuna Sittard

Sparta Rotterdam have turned a corner on their own patch in recent weeks, winning the last four by a combined score of 11-2. We are tipping the hosts to get the job done once again, albeit by a narrow margin this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawFortuna Sittard
59.89% (-0.32 -0.32) 21.95% (0.108 0.11) 18.15% (0.212 0.21)
Both teams to score 51.86% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.07% (-0.126 -0.13)45.93% (0.125 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.76% (-0.12 -0.12)68.24% (0.119 0.12)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.07% (-0.143 -0.14)14.92% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.68% (-0.274 -0.27)43.31% (0.273 0.27)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.96% (0.17100000000001 0.17)39.04% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.24% (0.16 0.16)75.76% (-0.16 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 59.89%
    Fortuna Sittard 18.15%
    Draw 21.95%
Sparta RotterdamDrawFortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 11.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.54% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.68% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.18% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.99% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 59.89%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.83% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.95%
0-1 @ 5.48% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.9% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 18.15%

How you voted: Sparta vs Sittard

Sparta Rotterdam
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Fortuna Sittard
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 5.45pm
Sittard
3-0
Sparta
Seuntjens (10'), Gladon (35', 77')
Seuntjens (27')

Okoye (11'), de Kamps (33'), van Crooij (83')
Sep 12, 2021 1.30pm
Sparta
3-1
Sittard
Smeets (21'), Thy (29'), Emegha (73')
Beugelsdijk (42'), Pinto (44')
Seuntjens (49')
Flemming (63')
Feb 13, 2021 1.15pm
Sparta
1-2
Sittard
Semedo (23'), Polter (50')
Flemming (88'), Semedo (90+1')
Jan 13, 2021 7pm
Sittard
0-1
Sparta

Flemming (25'), Seuntjens (83'), Janssen (90+3')
Thy (57')
Jan 25, 2020 7.45pm
Sparta
1-1
Sittard
Mattheij (73')
Piroe (63')
Damascan (20')
Dammers (33'), Smeets (54'), Sambou (93')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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