Eredivisie | Gameweek 27

Mar 30, 2024 at 7pm UK

De Adelaarshorst

Go Ahead Eagles
3 - 0
Excelsior

Thor Willumsson (41'), Nauber (70'), Linthorst (81')
Blomme (56')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Goudmijn (56'), de Moes (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Go Ahead Eagles and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Go Ahead Eagles

All competitions

Last Game: Heracles 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Excelsior 1-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, March 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 SBV Excelsior

Having enjoyed a superb season by their usual standards so far, Go Ahead Eagles will be hopeful that they can return to winning ways against their struggling opponents on Saturday. Excelsior finally ended their losing run against fellow strugglers last time out, but they may be on the end of another narrow defeat at De Adelaarshorst. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 18.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 3-1 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.

Result
Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	SBV Excelsior
62.91% ( 0.02)	18.84% ( -0)	18.25% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 63.28% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.86% (

-0.01)

31.14% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.45% (

-0.01)

52.55% (

0.02)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.46% (

9.54% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.04% (

31.96% (

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.95% (

-0.02)

30.05% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.82% (

-0.02)

66.18% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Go Ahead Eagles 62.91%

SBV Excelsior 18.25%

Draw 18.84%

Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.2% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.48% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.64% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.63% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.06% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 3.91% Total : 62.91%	1-1 @ 8.1% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.87% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.84%	1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.45% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.07% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.62% Total : 18.25%