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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
Apr 6, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Philips Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

PSV
5 - 1
AZ

Bakayoko (9'), de Jong (23', 53'), Veerman (80'), Uneken (90+1')
Teze (25'), Boscagli (45')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pavlidis (58')
Belic (13'), Mijnans (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-2 PSV
Tuesday, April 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last Game: Heracles 5-0 AZ
Wednesday, April 3 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 AZ Alkmaar

 PSV will be full of confidence coming into this game having had such an excellent season, while AZ are sure to be in short supply having suffered a humiliating 5-0 defeat in their last outing, leading us to believe the league leaders will win this one. The two top scorers in the division are set to come face to face in this one, and we expect both to get on the scoresheet here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawAZ Alkmaar
53.61% (0.53599999999999 0.54) 22.43% (-0.192 -0.19) 23.96% (-0.342 -0.34)
Both teams to score 59.17% (0.27 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.53% (0.538 0.54)40.47% (-0.537 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.15% (0.55200000000001 0.55)62.85% (-0.552 -0.55)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.88% (0.369 0.37)15.12% (-0.368 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.32% (0.693 0.69)43.68% (-0.693 -0.69)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.71% (0.015999999999991 0.02)30.29% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.53% (0.017000000000003 0.02)66.47% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 53.61%
    AZ Alkmaar 23.96%
    Draw 22.43%
PSV EindhovenDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.65% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.15% (0.088 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.15% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.67% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.9% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.047 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.043 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 53.61%
1-1 @ 10.33% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.27% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 23.96%

How you voted: PSV vs AZ

PSV Eindhoven
94.4%
Draw
2.8%
AZ Alkmaar
2.8%
36
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 16
AZ
0-4
PSV

van Bommel (45+1'), Goudmijn (77')
De Jong (9' pen., 57'), Saibari (11'), Dest (16')
> Preview
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
AZ
1-2
PSV
Karlsson (84' pen.)
Karlsson (35'), Clasie (57')
Simons (65', 90+8')
El Ghazi (35'), Benitez (79'), Veerman (90+3'), Simons (90+8')
El Ghazi (90+2')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 14
PSV
0-1
AZ
Pavlidis (18')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 19
PSV
1-2
AZ
Obispo (19')
Sangare (72'), Teze (74'), Gotze (90+1')
Martins Indi (40'), Karlsson (75')
Midtsjo (70'), Wijndal (72'), Hatzidiakos (72'), Sugawara (90')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 4
AZ
0-3
PSV

Hatzidiakos (46'), Midtsjo (63')
Boscagli (14'), Vertessen (69'), Doan (83')
van Ginkel (20'), Obispo (78')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214
> Eredivisie Full Table


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