Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 65.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 13.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.