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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 54.44%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 23.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | Heerenveen |
23.24% ( -0.14) | 22.32% ( 0.03) | 54.44% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 58.64% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.24% ( -0.29) | 40.76% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.85% ( -0.3) | 63.14% ( 0.3) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.94% ( -0.28) | 31.06% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.63% ( -0.33) | 67.37% ( 0.33) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.06% ( -0.06) | 14.94% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.65% ( -0.12) | 43.34% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 23.24% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.31% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.31% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 54.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
4 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
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