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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 62.27%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 19.05% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.45%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (4.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Heracles |
62.27% (![]() | 18.69% (![]() | 19.05% (![]() |
Both teams to score 65.52% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.02% (![]() | 28.98% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.05% (![]() | 49.95% (![]() |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.92% (![]() | 9.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.14% (![]() | 30.85% (![]() |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.06% (![]() | 27.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.43% (![]() | 63.57% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Heracles |
2-1 @ 9.31% (![]() 3-1 @ 7.45% 2-0 @ 7.3% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.09% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.84% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.75% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.47% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.68% 5-2 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 4.32% Total : 62.27% | 1-1 @ 7.76% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.94% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.02% ( ![]() Other @ 0.44% Total : 18.69% | 1-2 @ 4.95% 0-1 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.06% ( ![]() Other @ 4.18% Total : 19.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |