MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 07:09:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2023 at 7pm UK
Erve Asito
NEC

Heracles
2 - 1
Nijmegen

Hansson (61'), Ouahim (74')
Bruns (32'), Engels (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ogawa (24')
Baas (28'), Marques (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 4-1 Heracles
Saturday, August 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-4 Excelsior
Sunday, August 13 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Heracles 1-2 NEC

While both sides suffered hefty defeats last week, the visitors looked much more fluid in attack, which we expect to see again here against newly-promoted opposition. With both defences failing to impress so far this campaign, we expect both teams to get on the scoresheet but fancy NEC to come away with the victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for NEC had a probability of 22.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawNEC
53.65% (0.421 0.42) 23.7% (-0.073 -0.07) 22.65% (-0.348 -0.35)
Both teams to score 53.28% (-0.203 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.49% (-0.058 -0.06)47.5% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (-0.055 -0.05)69.71% (0.053999999999988 0.05)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.37% (0.134 0.13)17.63% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.77% (0.231 0.23)48.23% (-0.233 -0.23)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.69% (-0.351 -0.35)35.31% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.93% (-0.366 -0.37)72.06% (0.366 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 53.65%
    NEC 22.65%
    Draw 23.69%
HeraclesDrawNEC
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.65% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.42% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.45% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.35% (0.046 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 53.65%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.69%
0-1 @ 6.48% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 22.65%

How you voted: Heracles vs Nijmegen

Heracles
35.0%
Draw
20.0%
NEC
45.0%
20
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 17
Nijmegen
0-0
Heracles
Tavsan (45+1')
Quagliata (81'), Knoester (85')
Aug 29, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 3
Heracles
0-1
Nijmegen

Bakis (27'), de la Torre (76'), Fadiga (77'), Blaswich (77'), Knoester (87')
Bakis (41')
Akman (50')
Marquez Alvarez (41'), Okita (90+1')
Mar 5, 2017 3.45pm
Nijmegen
3-1
Heracles
Von Haacke (27', 33'), Golla (69')
Fomitschow (14')
Armenteros (14')
Kuwas (43')
Dec 2, 2016 7pm
Mar 6, 2016 11.30am
Nijmegen
1-0
Heracles
Santos (89')
Sleegers (21'), Breinburg (27'), Kane (65'), Foor (80')

Bruns (60'), Bel Hassani (76'), Fledderus (78'), Darri (85'), Navratil (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1692530171329
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda167181825-722
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!