Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Erve Asito
Heracles3 - 1Excelsior
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Heracles 2-1 Nijmegen
Friday, August 18 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Friday, August 18 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 2-2 Sittard
Saturday, August 26 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, August 26 at 8pm in Eredivisie
We said: Heracles 1-2 SBV Excelsior
Excelsior will be buoyed by their unbeaten start to the new season, and we think that they will continue their impressive run against a Heracles side that they have beaten in three consecutive head-to-head meetings. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 18.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
59.46% ( 0.89) | 21.55% ( -0.37) | 18.98% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 54.72% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.11% ( 0.86) | 42.89% ( -0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.7% ( 0.84) | 65.29% ( -0.84) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.94% ( 0.56) | 14.06% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.36% ( 1.09) | 41.63% ( -1.09) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.66% ( -0.06) | 36.33% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.88% ( -0.06) | 73.12% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Heracles 59.46%
SBV Excelsior 18.98%
Draw 21.55%
| Heracles | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.97% Total : 59.46% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.55% | 0-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 18.98% |
How you voted: Heracles vs Excelsior
Heracles
25.0%Draw
12.5%SBV Excelsior
62.5%8
Head to Head
May 21, 2022 7pm
Second Round 2nd Leg
Heracles
1-3
Excelsior
May 18, 2022 5.45pm
May 12, 2019 1.30pm
Apr 18, 2018 6.45pm
