Excelsior3 - 0Sittard
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, May 13 at 7pm in Eredivisie
for
Sunday, May 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie
We said: SBV Excelsior 1-0 Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior have been defensively solid of late, and we can see them coming away from this weekend's affair with another clean sheet. That said, we can also see the hosts edging out the away side here, all but confirming their place in the Eredivisie next season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
47.23% ( 0.01) | 23.76% ( -0.01) | 29.01% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.29% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.56% ( 0.02) | 42.43% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.16% ( 0.02) | 64.84% ( -0.02) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.84% ( 0.01) | 18.16% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.86% ( 0.02) | 49.14% ( -0.03) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.44% ( 0.01) | 27.56% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.92% ( 0.01) | 63.07% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.28% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 3.6% Total : 47.23% | 1-1 @ 11% 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0)0-0 @ 5% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.89% Total : 29.01% |
