MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:01:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
 
Fortuna Sittard

Excelsior
3 - 0
Sittard

Pierie (59'), Driouech (73'), Goudmijn (85')
Azarkan (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Embalo (55'), Cox (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 0-0 Excelsior
Saturday, May 13 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-1 Sittard
Sunday, May 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-0 Fortuna Sittard

Excelsior have been defensively solid of late, and we can see them coming away from this weekend's affair with another clean sheet. That said, we can also see the hosts edging out the away side here, all but confirming their place in the Eredivisie next season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFortuna Sittard
47.23% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 23.76% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 29.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.29% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.56% (0.022000000000006 0.02)42.43% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.16% (0.022999999999996 0.02)64.84% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.84% (0.01400000000001 0.01)18.16% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.86% (0.022999999999996 0.02)49.14% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.44% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)27.56% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.92% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)63.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 47.23%
    Fortuna Sittard 29.01%
    Draw 23.75%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFortuna Sittard
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.54% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 47.23%
1-1 @ 11%
2-2 @ 6.05% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 29.01%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Sittard

SBV Excelsior
77.8%
Draw
0.0%
Fortuna Sittard
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 8pm
gameweek 7
Sittard
1-0
Excelsior
Vita (87')

Ayoub (47')
Feb 10, 2019 11.15am
gameweek 21
Sittard
4-1
Excelsior
Lamprou (13', 33'), Diemers (64'), Novakovich (90')
Ciranni (77'), Rodriguez (94')
Messaoud (55')
Fortes (25'), Oude Kotte (32')
Aug 11, 2018 7.45pm
gameweek 1
Excelsior
1-1
Sittard
Mattheij (32')
Koolwijk (22'), Schouten (79'), Mattheij (93')
Bruins (57')
Smeets (53')
Heerings (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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