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Ajax
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Feyenoord
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Groningen
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NEC
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Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Feyenoord

Nijmegen
2 - 3
Feyenoord

Sano (47'), Hansen (80')
Nuytinck (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Stengs (45'), Minteh (57'), Ueda (87')
Lopez (33'), Jahanbakhsh (90+4'), Sauer (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: NEC 1-3 Feyenoord

While NEC are still fighting for a joint-best fifth-placed finish in the league and Feyenoord's second place is already guaranteed, Slot will be looking to extend his side's unbeaten run into the end of the season, and we expect the visitors to comfortably win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 62.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for NEC had a probability of 18.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 0-1 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a NEC win it was 2-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
NECDrawFeyenoord
18.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 19.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 62.41% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.09% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.11% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)33.89% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.26% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)55.74% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (-0.012 -0.01)31.78% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)68.21% (0.012 0.01)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.55% (-0.012 -0.01)10.45% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.94% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)34.06% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    NEC 18.21%
    Feyenoord 62.41%
    Draw 19.38%
NECDrawFeyenoord
2-1 @ 4.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 3.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 2.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 1.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 18.21%
1-1 @ 8.6% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 19.38%
1-2 @ 9.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 8.47% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-1 @ 7.5% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 6.38%
2-3 @ 4.19% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-4 @ 4.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 3.6% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-4 @ 2.37% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-5 @ 1.86% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
2-5 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
3-4 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 62.41%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Feyenoord

NEC
18.2%
Draw
18.2%
Feyenoord
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 5pm
Final
Feyenoord
1-0
Nijmegen
Paixao (59')
Minteh (71'), Maduro (90+8')
Minteh (72')

Verdonk (67'), Hansen (68')
Jan 14, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 17
Feyenoord
2-2
Nijmegen
Dilrosun (17'), Gimenez (28')
Maduro (27'), Wieffer (75')
Proper (45+1'), Mattsson (53')
van Rooij (24'), Verdonk (90+1')
Feb 8, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Feyenoord
4-4
Nijmegen
(Aggregate 4-4 | Feyenoord win 5-3 on penalties)
Kokcu (90' pen.), Paixao (90+2'), Gimenez (98'), Dilrosun (116')
Verdonk (33'), Marques (45'), Bruijn (96', 118')
Jan 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Feyenoord
2-0
Nijmegen
Dilrosun (9'), Kokcu (45+3' pen.)
Oct 2, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 8
Nijmegen
1-1
Feyenoord
Marquez (37')
Maduro (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


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