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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 62.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for NEC had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 0-1 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a NEC win it was 2-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Feyenoord |
18.21% ( 0.01) | 19.38% ( 0.01) | 62.41% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 61.09% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.11% ( -0.03) | 33.89% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.26% ( -0.04) | 55.74% ( 0.04) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.22% ( -0.01) | 31.78% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.79% ( -0.01) | 68.21% ( 0.01) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.55% ( -0.01) | 10.45% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.94% ( -0.03) | 34.06% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 4.93% ( 0) 1-0 @ 3.81% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.18% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.88% ( 0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 18.21% | 1-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.38% | 1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 7.31% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.38% 2-3 @ 4.19% ( -0) 1-4 @ 4.13% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.6% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.37% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.86% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.63% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.07% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 62.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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