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NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Feyenoord

Nijmegen
2 - 3
Feyenoord

Sano (47'), Hansen (80')
Nuytinck (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Stengs (45'), Minteh (57'), Ueda (87')
Lopez (33'), Jahanbakhsh (90+4'), Sauer (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: NEC 1-3 Feyenoord

While NEC are still fighting for a joint-best fifth-placed finish in the league and Feyenoord's second place is already guaranteed, Slot will be looking to extend his side's unbeaten run into the end of the season, and we expect the visitors to comfortably win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 62.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for NEC had a probability of 18.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 0-1 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a NEC win it was 2-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
NECDrawFeyenoord
18.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 19.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 62.41% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.09% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.11% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)33.89% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.26% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)55.74% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (-0.012 -0.01)31.78% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)68.21% (0.012 0.01)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.55% (-0.012 -0.01)10.45% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.94% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)34.06% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    NEC 18.21%
    Feyenoord 62.41%
    Draw 19.38%
NECDrawFeyenoord
2-1 @ 4.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 3.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 2.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 1.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 18.21%
1-1 @ 8.6% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 19.38%
1-2 @ 9.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 8.47% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-1 @ 7.5% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 6.38%
2-3 @ 4.19% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-4 @ 4.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 3.6% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-4 @ 2.37% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-5 @ 1.86% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
2-5 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
3-4 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 62.41%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Feyenoord

NEC
18.2%
Draw
18.2%
Feyenoord
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 5pm
Final
Feyenoord
1-0
Nijmegen
Paixao (59')
Minteh (71'), Maduro (90+8')
Minteh (72')

Verdonk (67'), Hansen (68')
Jan 14, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 17
Feyenoord
2-2
Nijmegen
Dilrosun (17'), Gimenez (28')
Maduro (27'), Wieffer (75')
Proper (45+1'), Mattsson (53')
van Rooij (24'), Verdonk (90+1')
Feb 8, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Feyenoord
4-4
Nijmegen
(Aggregate 4-4 | Feyenoord win 5-3 on penalties)
Kokcu (90' pen.), Paixao (90+2'), Gimenez (98'), Dilrosun (116')
Verdonk (33'), Marques (45'), Bruijn (96', 118')
Jan 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Feyenoord
2-0
Nijmegen
Dilrosun (9'), Kokcu (45+3' pen.)
Oct 2, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 8
Nijmegen
1-1
Feyenoord
Marquez (37')
Maduro (23')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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