MX23RW : Monday, November 25 13:57:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 6, 2024 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
NEC

Excelsior
0 - 3
Nijmegen


Duijvestijn (23')
Horemans (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Chery (60', 64'), Rober (90')
Ross (64'), Sano (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Excelsior
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 0-3 AZ
Sunday, April 28 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 NEC

Clean sheets have been hard to come by for both teams of late, and we are anticipating an open contest here. That said, we are also backing a share of the spoils with honours even come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.96%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawNEC
35.42% (0.115 0.12) 23.52% (0.224 0.22) 41.06% (-0.339 -0.34)
Both teams to score 63.03% (-0.827 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.26% (-1.088 -1.09)38.74% (1.089 1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.96% (-1.158 -1.16)61.04% (1.158 1.16)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.05% (-0.43900000000001 -0.44)21.95% (0.439 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.77% (-0.669 -0.67)55.23% (0.669 0.67)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.75% (-0.60199999999999 -0.6)19.24% (0.602 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.04% (-1.002 -1)50.96% (1.002 1)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 35.42%
    NEC 41.06%
    Draw 23.52%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawNEC
2-1 @ 8% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.41% (0.244 0.24)
2-0 @ 4.86% (0.123 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.05% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.46% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 35.42%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.214 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 8.7% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 6.96% (0.225 0.23)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.078 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.78% (-0.090000000000001 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.62% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.15% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.49% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 41.06%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Nijmegen

SBV Excelsior
31.8%
Draw
25.8%
NEC
42.4%
66
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 1
Nijmegen
3-4
Excelsior
Baas (36'), Hansen (44'), Ogawa (60')
Marques (83')
Agrafiotis (12'), Widell (53'), Omorowa (73'), Uddenas (90+10')
Seymor (84'), Baas (90+9')
Feb 19, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 22
Excelsior
0-3
Nijmegen
Mattsson (44'), Elkarouani (73'), Musaba (85')
Oct 8, 2022 8pm
Apr 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 33
Excelsior
2-1
Nijmegen
Zwarts (63', 79')
Wieffer (48')
Vet (16')
Jan 8, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 19
Nijmegen
3-2
Excelsior
Okita (50'), Elkarouani (79'), Bruijn (86' pen.)
Odenthal (28'), Proper (42'), Okita (72'), Vet (90+5')
Zwarts (14'), Van Rooijen (17')
Wieffer (49'), Matthys (90+4')
Ormonde-Ottewill (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1312014593636
2FC UtrechtUtrecht12101122121031
3Ajax1292127111629
4Feyenoord1384131131828
5FC Twente1374226121425
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1362525151020
7Go Ahead Eagles135351820-218
8Fortuna SittardSittard135261418-417
9NECNijmegen135172012816
10Willem II134451514116
11NAC BredaNAC Breda135171423-916
12Heerenveen134271326-1314
13Heracles133461425-1113
14PEC Zwolle133371424-1012
15Groningen133371224-1212
16Sparta RotterdamSparta132561320-711
17Almere CityAlmere City13139630-246
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1312101233-215


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