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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for NEC had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.49%) and 1-3 (6.34%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
26.64% ( 0.06) | 21.3% ( 0.01) | 52.06% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 66.27% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.59% ( -0.02) | 32.41% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.95% ( -0.02) | 54.04% ( 0.02) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.01% ( 0.03) | 23.98% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.77% ( 0.04) | 58.23% ( -0.04) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.18% ( -0.03) | 12.81% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.86% ( -0.06) | 39.14% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 26.64% | 1-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.07% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.16% Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.3% | 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.34% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.53% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.33% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) 2-5 @ 0.96% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 52.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |