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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for NEC had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.49%) and 1-3 (6.34%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
26.64% ( 0.06) | 21.3% ( 0.01) | 52.06% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 66.27% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.59% ( -0.02) | 32.41% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.95% ( -0.02) | 54.04% ( 0.02) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.01% ( 0.03) | 23.98% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.77% ( 0.04) | 58.23% ( -0.04) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.18% ( -0.03) | 12.81% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.86% ( -0.06) | 39.14% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 26.64% | 1-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.07% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.16% Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.3% | 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.34% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.53% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.33% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) 2-5 @ 0.96% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 52.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |