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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 74.73%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 9.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 3-0 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | FC Utrecht |
74.73% ( 1.06) | 15.88% ( -0.36) | 9.38% ( -0.71) |
Both teams to score 47.64% ( -1.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.39% ( -0.57) | 38.6% ( 0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.1% ( -0.61) | 60.9% ( 0.6) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.21% ( 0.1) | 8.78% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.84% ( 0.24) | 30.15% ( -0.25) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.23% ( -1.82) | 47.76% ( 1.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.94% ( -1.38) | 83.05% ( 1.37) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-0 @ 12.41% ( 0.45) 1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.1) 6-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.07) Other @ 4.01% Total : 74.72% | 1-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.76% Total : 15.88% | 0-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.35% Total : 9.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
4 | FC Twente | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
5 | Feyenoord | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 9 |
6 | Groningen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
9 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 6 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 0 |
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