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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for NEC had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.04%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | NEC |
46.02% ( -0.13) | 22.9% ( 0.02) | 31.08% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 63.69% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.81% ( -0.03) | 37.19% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.61% ( -0.04) | 59.39% ( 0.03) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.4% ( -0.06) | 16.6% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.59% ( -0.11) | 46.4% ( 0.11) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.37% ( 0.05) | 23.63% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.28% ( 0.07) | 57.72% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | NEC |
2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.42% Total : 46.02% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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