MX23RW : Monday, March 10 22:32:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Heerenveen

Nijmegen
2 - 0
Heerenveen

Ogawa (67'), Rober (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 2-5 Nijmegen
Friday, March 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-0 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-1 Heerenveen

Both sides have had little trouble finding the back of the net of late, and we are expecting an entertaining clash. We can also see the hosts coming away with maximum points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.08%) and 1-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NECDrawHeerenveen
53.98% (-0.438 -0.44) 21.26% (0.146 0.15) 24.75% (0.298 0.3)
Both teams to score 64.36% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.94% (-0.39699999999999 -0.4)34.06% (0.402 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.06% (-0.451 -0.45)55.94% (0.456 0.46)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.2% (-0.25999999999999 -0.26)12.8% (0.266 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.88% (-0.54199999999999 -0.54)39.12% (0.547 0.55)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.81% (0.0049999999999955 0)26.19% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.72% (0.0039999999999978 0)61.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    NEC 53.98%
    Heerenveen 24.75%
    Draw 21.26%
NECDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 6.89% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.85% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.36% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.34% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.24% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 53.98%
1-1 @ 9.23% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.35% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.95% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.26%
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.066 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.49% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.01% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 24.75%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Heerenveen

NEC
73.3%
Draw
20.0%
Heerenveen
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 8
Heerenveen
1-1
Nijmegen
Walemark (6')
Kohlert (16')
Dost (45+2')
May 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 31
Nijmegen
2-3
Heerenveen
Mattsson (37'), Dimata (61')
Haye (27'), Van Hooijdonk (82'), Colassin (87')
Sep 4, 2022 1.30pm
Feb 13, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 20
Heerenveen
0-1
Nijmegen

Haye (53'), van Hooijdonk (77'), Dresevic (82')
Tavsan (41')
Barreto (8'), van Rooij (73'), Schone (90+7')
Nov 6, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 11
Nijmegen
1-1
Heerenveen
Akman (53')
Veerman (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!