Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Groningen 0-1 Nijmegen
Tuesday, April 25 at 2pm in Eredivisie
Tuesday, April 25 at 2pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-3 Emmen
Saturday, April 22 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, April 22 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
We said: NEC 1-2 Heerenveen
Heerenveen have been let down by their home form this season, but the Super Frisians' results on their travels is the seven-best in the Eredivisie. NEC have conceded a goal in 13 of their 15 fixtures at Stadion de Goffert, and a run that has seen them claim one win in their last six home games is likely to extend to a sole victory in seven on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Heerenveen |
42.37% ( 0.11) | 24.52% ( -0.03) | 33.11% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.73% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
