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Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
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NEC
PEC Zwolle
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Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Waalwijk logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
NEC

RKC Waalwijk
2 - 0
Nijmegen

Min (7', 22' pen.)
Meijers (51'), Meijers (51'), Lelieveld (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Nuytinck (63'), Sandler (67'), Proper (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 3-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 ADO Den Haag
Tuesday, February 6 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-2 NEC

RKC have been enduring an awful run of form recently, and we cannot imagine their fortunes changing against in-form opposition on Friday night. NEC will be full of confidence following their progression in the KNVB Beker, so we are expecting maximum points for the visitors at the Mandemakers Stadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for NEC had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawNEC
38.15% (0.151 0.15) 24.44% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03) 37.41% (-0.11600000000001 -0.12)
Both teams to score 59.84% (0.132 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.02% (0.17 0.17)42.99% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.61% (0.166 0.17)65.39% (-0.166 -0.17)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54% (0.15299999999999 0.15)22.46% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44% (0.229 0.23)56% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (0.016000000000005 0.02)22.84% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44% (0.021999999999998 0.02)56.56% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 38.15%
    NEC 37.41%
    Draw 24.44%
RKC WaalwijkDrawNEC
2-1 @ 8.45% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.72% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.85% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 38.15%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.57% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.41%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Nijmegen

RKC Waalwijk
15.1%
Draw
7.5%
NEC
77.4%
53
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 3
Nijmegen
3-0
RKC Waalwijk
Mattsson (23', 90'), Rober (90+5')
Hoedemakers (16')

Min (60'), Oukili (90+1')
Mar 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
RKC Waalwijk
1-3
Nijmegen
Anita (61')
Tannane (18', 31'), Tavsan (26')
Nov 13, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 14
Nijmegen
6-1
RKC Waalwijk
Dimata (38' pen.), Elkarouani (50'), Mattsson (73'), Marques (78', 90+2'), Tavsan (88')
Van den Buijs (4' pen.)
Feb 19, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 21
Nijmegen
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Okita (88')
Odenthal (79'), Schone (90+1')
Van der Venne (18')
Buttner (71'), Touba (90+1'), Gaari (90+3')
Dec 5, 2021 11.15am
Gameweek 14
RKC Waalwijk
2-1
Nijmegen
Odgaard (28'), Kuijpers (90+3')
Augustijns (54'), Adewoye (62'), Azhil (90')
Bruijn (16')
Marquez (47'), Odenthal (65'), Verdonk (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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