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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 65.08%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 16.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.79%) and 1-3 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 2-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Feyenoord |
16.95% ( -0.52) | 17.97% ( -0.2) | 65.08% ( 0.71) |
Both teams to score 63.91% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.83% ( -0.01) | 29.17% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.81% ( -0.01) | 50.18% ( 0.01) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.86% ( -0.54) | 30.14% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.71% ( -0.65) | 66.28% ( 0.65) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.49% ( 0.15) | 8.51% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.52% ( 0.37) | 29.48% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.43% Total : 16.95% | 1-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 2.57% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.38% Total : 17.97% | 1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 7.67% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 6.39% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 4.72% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 3.94% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 2.83% ( -0) 1-5 @ 2.33% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.94% ( 0.07) 2-5 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 1-6 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.73% Total : 65.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
4 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
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