Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 70.72%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 12.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 3-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
70.72% ( -0.42) | 16.67% ( 0.21) | 12.61% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 56.94% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.32% ( -0.52) | 32.67% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.65% ( -0.6) | 54.35% ( 0.6) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.78% ( -0.22) | 8.21% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.26% ( -0.55) | 28.74% ( 0.54) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.04% ( -0.05) | 37.96% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.27% ( -0.04) | 74.73% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.36% Total : 70.72% | 1-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 16.67% | 1-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.81% Total : 12.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |