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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 90.79%. A draw had a probability of 6.1% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 3.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 4-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.55%) and 5-0 (7.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.45%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (0.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Feyenoord in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Feyenoord.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
90.79% ( -0.41) | 6.12% ( 0.27) | 3.1% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 54.25% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
86.65% ( -0.69) | 13.35% ( 0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
72.04% ( -1.15) | 27.97% ( 1.15) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
98.34% ( -0.11) | 1.66% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
91.52% ( -0.5) | 8.48% ( 0.51) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.17% ( -0.14) | 44.83% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.2% ( -0.11) | 80.8% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
4-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.21) 5-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.26) 5-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.19) 6-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.16) 6-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.18) 7-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.05) 7-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.13) 6-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.06) 8-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.1) 8-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.09) 7-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 5.38% Total : 90.79% | 1-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.65% Total : 6.12% | 1-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.11% Total : 3.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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