MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 21:18:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PEC Zwolle
Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
MAC³PARK Stadion
NAC Breda

PEC Zwolle
1 - 2
NAC Breda

de Rooij (81')
El Azzouzi (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mar Omarsson (54', 78')
Kemper (75'), Bielica (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and NAC Breda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 1-1 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, October 6 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: PEC Zwolle 1-0 NAC Breda

After a very poor start to the season, Zwolle seemed to have found a good rhythm leading up to the international break and will see this as a fixture they should win given their six-match unbeaten record against this opponent. NAC have put on a few solid performances in their first season back in the top flight, but their away record is still among the worst in the division, and we feel they will struggle to take anything away from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
PEC ZwolleDrawNAC Breda
51.44% (0.568 0.57) 23.26% (-0.111 -0.11) 25.29% (-0.463 -0.46)
Both teams to score 57.78% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.01% (0.082000000000001 0.08)42.99% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.61% (0.080999999999996 0.08)65.39% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.22% (0.238 0.24)16.77% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.28% (0.424 0.42)46.72% (-0.43 -0.43)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42% (-0.321 -0.32)30.57% (0.317 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)66.81% (0.37700000000001 0.38)
Score Analysis
    PEC Zwolle 51.44%
    NAC Breda 25.29%
    Draw 23.26%
PEC ZwolleDrawNAC Breda
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.17% (0.099 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.066 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.86% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.17% (0.06 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 51.44%
1-1 @ 10.85% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.6% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 25.29%

How you voted: PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda

PEC Zwolle
71.4%
Draw
0.0%
NAC Breda
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 29
PEC Zwolle
2-0
NAC Breda
Huiberts (46'), Thy (84')
Nov 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
NAC Breda
0-2
PEC Zwolle
Taha (32', 45')
May 15, 2019 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
NAC Breda
0-0
PEC Zwolle
te Vrede (51')
Paal (90')
Dec 15, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
PEC Zwolle
0-0
NAC Breda
van Polen (21'), Ehizibue (56')
Verschueren (44'), te Vrede (47')
Jan 20, 2018 6.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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