MX23RW : Monday, March 10 22:02:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PEC Zwolle
Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
MAC³PARK Stadion
NAC Breda

PEC Zwolle
1 - 2
NAC Breda

de Rooij (81')
El Azzouzi (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mar Omarsson (54', 78')
Kemper (75'), Bielica (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and NAC Breda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 1-1 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, October 6 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: PEC Zwolle 1-0 NAC Breda

After a very poor start to the season, Zwolle seemed to have found a good rhythm leading up to the international break and will see this as a fixture they should win given their six-match unbeaten record against this opponent. NAC have put on a few solid performances in their first season back in the top flight, but their away record is still among the worst in the division, and we feel they will struggle to take anything away from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
PEC ZwolleDrawNAC Breda
51.44% (0.568 0.57) 23.26% (-0.111 -0.11) 25.29% (-0.463 -0.46)
Both teams to score 57.78% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.01% (0.082000000000001 0.08)42.99% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.61% (0.080999999999996 0.08)65.39% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.22% (0.238 0.24)16.77% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.28% (0.424 0.42)46.72% (-0.43 -0.43)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42% (-0.321 -0.32)30.57% (0.317 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)66.81% (0.37700000000001 0.38)
Score Analysis
    PEC Zwolle 51.44%
    NAC Breda 25.29%
    Draw 23.26%
PEC ZwolleDrawNAC Breda
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.17% (0.099 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.066 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.86% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.17% (0.06 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 51.44%
1-1 @ 10.85% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.6% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 25.29%

How you voted: PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda

PEC Zwolle
71.4%
Draw
0.0%
NAC Breda
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 29
PEC Zwolle
2-0
NAC Breda
Huiberts (46'), Thy (84')
Nov 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
NAC Breda
0-2
PEC Zwolle
Taha (32', 45')
May 15, 2019 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
NAC Breda
0-0
PEC Zwolle
te Vrede (51')
Paal (90')
Dec 15, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
PEC Zwolle
0-0
NAC Breda
van Polen (21'), Ehizibue (56')
Verschueren (44'), te Vrede (47')
Jan 20, 2018 6.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


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