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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | NAC Breda |
51.44% ( 0.57) | 23.26% ( -0.11) | 25.29% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 57.78% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.01% ( 0.08) | 42.99% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.61% ( 0.08) | 65.39% ( -0.09) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.22% ( 0.24) | 16.77% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.28% ( 0.42) | 46.72% ( -0.43) |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.42% ( -0.32) | 30.57% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.19% ( -0.38) | 66.81% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | NAC Breda |
2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.2% Total : 51.44% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.96% Total : 25.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |