Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 20, 2024 at 7pm UK
MAC³PARK Stadion
We said: PEC Zwolle 0-2 AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar will enter this match overflowing with confidence after that demolition of Heerenveen last week, and will see this as a fixture they should be coming away from with all three points. We are not expecting another goal-fest here, but do feel that the visitors will earn a fairly comfortable victory.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 63.45% . A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 15.86% .
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.06% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.9%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%) , while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-0 (4.87%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result PEC Zwolle Draw AZ Alkmaar 15.86% ( -0.23) 20.68% ( 0.07) 63.45% ( 0.15)
Both teams to score 51.26% ( -0.75)
55.67% ( -0.73) 44.33% ( 0.73)
33.29% ( -0.72) 66.7% ( 0.71)
59.13% ( -0.74) 40.87% ( 0.73)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 22.56% ( -0.67) 77.44% ( 0.66)
86.69% ( -0.19) 13.31% ( 0.18)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 59.85% ( -0.37) 40.15% ( 0.36)
PEC Zwolle 15.86%
AZ Alkmaar 63.44%
Draw 20.68%
PEC Zwolle Draw AZ Alkmaar 1-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.8% Total : 15.86% 1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.1) Other @ 1% Total : 20.68% 0-2 @ 11.06% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 7.44% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.65% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.36% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.09) 0-5 @ 1.51% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.99% Total : 63.44%
How you voted: PEC Zwolle vs AZ
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