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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 15.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-0 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
15.86% (![]() | 20.68% (![]() | 63.45% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.67% (![]() | 44.33% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.29% (![]() | 66.7% (![]() |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.13% (![]() | 40.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.56% (![]() | 77.44% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.69% (![]() | 13.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.85% (![]() | 40.15% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
1-0 @ 4.87% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.39% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 1.8% Total : 15.86% | 1-1 @ 9.82% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.44% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.43% ( ![]() Other @ 1% Total : 20.68% | 0-2 @ 11.06% (![]() 0-1 @ 10.96% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.9% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 7.44% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.65% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.75% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 2.99% Total : 63.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 63 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 55 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 49 |
4 | FC Twente | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 46 |
5 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 30 |
10 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 28 |
12 | Heracles | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 27 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 26 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
16 | Willem II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 14 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |