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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Heracles |
49.1% (![]() | 24.36% (![]() | 26.53% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.28% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.16% (![]() | 46.84% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.9% (![]() | 69.1% (![]() |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.87% (![]() | 19.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.23% (![]() | 50.78% (![]() |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.36% (![]() | 31.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.94% (![]() | 68.06% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Heracles |
1-0 @ 10.01% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.53% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.28% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.56% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.1% | 1-1 @ 11.52% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.06% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.48% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 6.97% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.63% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.01% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() Other @ 2.75% Total : 26.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 63 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 55 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 49 |
4 | FC Twente | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 46 |
5 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 30 |
10 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 28 |
12 | Heracles | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 27 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 26 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
16 | Willem II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 14 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |