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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match.
Result | ||
NAC Breda | Draw | FC Utrecht |
33.7% ( 0) | 24.6% ( -0) | 41.7% |
Both teams to score 58.65% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.73% ( -0) | 44.27% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.35% ( -0) | 66.64% ( 0) |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.52% | 25.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.68% ( -0) | 60.32% ( 0) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.71% | 21.29% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.78% ( -0) | 54.22% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
NAC Breda | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 7.84% 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.07% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.7% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 2-2 @ 6.07% 0-0 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 8.88% 0-1 @ 8.39% 0-2 @ 6.49% 1-3 @ 4.58% 0-3 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 3.13% 1-4 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.62% Total : 41.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |