MX23RW : Monday, December 23 03:01:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PEC Zwolle
Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 at 7pm UK
MAC³PARK Stadion
NEC

PEC Zwolle
1 - 3
Nijmegen

Namli (75')
van den Berg (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tavsan (43'), van Rooij (46'), Baas (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 0-5 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, December 2 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-2 Nijmegen
Wednesday, December 6 at 6pm in Eredivisie

We said: PEC Zwolle 1-1 NEC

There is little to choose between the teams heading into this one, and Saturday's game could easily swing either way. That said, we are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for NEC had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
PEC ZwolleDrawNEC
55.4% (0.91500000000001 0.92) 22.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 22.1% (-0.911 -0.91)
Both teams to score 56.51% (-1.209 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.13% (-1.03 -1.03)42.87% (1.024 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.73% (-1.027 -1.03)65.27% (1.021 1.02)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.64% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)15.35% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.87% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)44.12% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.76% (-1.386 -1.39)33.23% (1.379 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.16% (-1.555 -1.56)69.84% (1.548 1.55)
Score Analysis
    PEC Zwolle 55.4%
    NEC 22.1%
    Draw 22.49%
PEC ZwolleDrawNEC
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.56% (0.411 0.41)
2-0 @ 8.96% (0.371 0.37)
3-1 @ 6.16% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.6% (0.222 0.22)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.62% (0.1 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 55.4%
1-1 @ 10.53% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.185 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.1% (0.227 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.49%
1-2 @ 5.8% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-1 @ 5.62% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.1% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 22.1%

How you voted: PEC Zwolle vs Nijmegen

PEC Zwolle
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
NEC
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 19
PEC Zwolle
1-1
Nijmegen
Redan (27')
Nakayama (8'), van Wermeskerken (86')
Voet (69')
Bruijn (26')
Vet (42'), Verdonk (72')
Aug 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 1
Nijmegen
2-0
PEC Zwolle
Akman (4'), Okita (42')
Duelund (18'), Okita (36'), Bruijn (54'), Elkarouani (73')

Clement (53'), Reijnders (82'), van den Belt (85')
Kersten (88')
Feb 10, 2017 7pm
Aug 5, 2016 7pm
Nijmegen
1-1
PEC Zwolle
Ofosu (64')
Buwalda (43'), Dumic (65')
Menig (32')
Apr 20, 2016 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!