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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 70.45%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 3-0 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | FC Volendam |
70.45% ( 0.2) | 16.76% ( -0.1) | 12.8% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 57.21% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.37% ( 0.27) | 32.62% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.71% ( 0.31) | 54.29% ( -0.31) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.74% ( 0.11) | 8.26% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.15% ( 0.27) | 28.85% ( -0.27) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.36% ( 0.04) | 37.64% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.58% ( 0.04) | 74.42% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.37% Total : 70.45% | 1-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 16.76% | 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 12.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
4 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |