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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 67.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for NEC had a probability of 13.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | NEC |
67.5% ( -0.48) | 18.58% ( 0.26) | 13.91% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 53.55% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.15% ( -0.69) | 38.85% ( 0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.84% ( -0.72) | 61.16% ( 0.72) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.42% ( -0.31) | 10.58% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.64% ( -0.7) | 34.35% ( 0.7) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.88% ( -0.12) | 40.11% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.24% ( -0.11) | 76.76% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | NEC |
2-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.44% Total : 67.5% | 1-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.58% | 1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 13.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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