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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Philips Stadion
PEC Zwolle

PSV
4 - 0
PEC Zwolle

Lozano (5'), Til (28'), de Jong (57'), Tillman (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Garcia McNulty (40'), Thomas (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 1-0 Lens
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League

PEC Zwolle

All competitions
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-0 Sittard
Sunday, November 5 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-0 PEC Zwolle

 With the visitors having impressed of late, this has effectively become a free pass to try to shock the leaders. However, we do not anticipate any Dutch team defeating PSV for the foreseeable future and it would come as a surprise if the home side do not cruise to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.68%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 12.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 3-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.51%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawPEC Zwolle
72.68% (-0.88 -0.88) 15.28% (0.392 0.39) 12.04% (0.493 0.49)
Both teams to score 60.95% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.97% (-0.634 -0.63)27.03% (0.64 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.48% (-0.806 -0.81)47.52% (0.811 0.81)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.52% (-0.29599999999999 -0.3)6.48% (0.3009 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.79% (-0.82799999999999 -0.83)24.21% (0.833 0.83)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17% (0.28400000000001 0.28)34.83% (-0.27999999999999 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.44% (0.298 0.3)71.56% (-0.29299999999999 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 72.68%
    PEC Zwolle 12.04%
    Draw 15.28%
PSV EindhovenDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.113 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 8.13% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.71% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-0 @ 6.17% (0.137 0.14)
4-1 @ 5.56% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-0 @ 5.27% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-2 @ 4.29% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.04% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-2 @ 2.93% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.89% (-0.138 -0.14)
5-2 @ 1.61% (-0.051 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.39% (-0.08 -0.08)
6-0 @ 1.32% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 72.68%
1-1 @ 6.51% (0.193 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.095 0.09)
0-0 @ 2.26% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 15.28%
1-2 @ 3.44% (0.127 0.13)
0-1 @ 2.38% (0.11 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.26% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 12.04%

Head to Head
May 15, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 31
PEC Zwolle
1-2
PSV
Kastaneer (16')
Redan (86')
Bruma (11'), Ledezma (73')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 8
PSV
3-1
PEC Zwolle
Ramalho (84'), Gakpo (86'), Boscagli (89')
Boscagli (76')
Redan (3')
Pabai (53'), Tedic (76'), De Wit (77')
> Preview
May 13, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 33
PSV
4-2
PEC Zwolle
Mous (22' og.), Malen (29'), Vertessen (34'), Zahavi (54')
Pherai (69'), Lagsir (90')
Bajselmani (42'), Olivier Doue (52'), Lam (66')
> Preview
Oct 18, 2020 3.45pm
Gameweek 5
PEC Zwolle
0-3
PSV

Huiberts (43'), van Polen (57')
Gotze (9'), Gakpo (18'), Malen (39')
Rosario (61'), Sangare (86')
Dec 21, 2019 6.45pm
Gameweek 18
PSV
4-1
PEC Zwolle
Hendrix (18'), Ihattaren (26'), Bruma (51'), Gakpo (72')
Viergever (60')
Saymak (12')
Dekker (8'), van Crooij (43'), Paal (68'), Thy (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414
> Eredivisie Full Table


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