Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
AFAS Stadion
AZ2 - 1Ajax
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Heracles
Sunday, December 1 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, December 1 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
26
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Utrecht
Wednesday, December 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Wednesday, December 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie
We said: AZ Alkmaar 1-2 Ajax
Ajax have been in excellent form this season, unbeaten in their last 12 league games dating back to matchday two, and while they did drop points at home last week, we feel they will return to winning ways in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.92%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Ajax |
43.84% ( -0.37) | 23.13% ( -0.08) | 33.03% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 63.77% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.52% ( 0.55) | 37.48% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.3% ( 0.59) | 59.7% ( -0.59) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.44% ( 0.08) | 17.56% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.9% ( 0.13) | 48.1% ( -0.13) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.35% ( 0.51) | 22.65% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.72% ( 0.76) | 56.28% ( -0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar 43.84%
Ajax 33.03%
Draw 23.13%
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)Other @ 4% Total : 43.84% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.25% Total : 33.03% |
How you voted: AZ vs Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
25.0%Draw
23.2%Ajax
51.8%56
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 3.45pm
Oct 8, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 8
Ajax
1-2
AZ
May 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
Ajax
0-0
AZ
Sep 18, 2022 3.45pm
