MX23RW : Monday, December 23 20:28:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Ajax

AZ
2 - 1
Ajax

Parrott (65'), Lahdo (76')
Goes (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Godts (81')
Weghorst (36'), Sutalo (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-0 Heracles
Sunday, December 1 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Utrecht
Wednesday, December 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 1-2 Ajax

Ajax have been in excellent form this season, unbeaten in their last 12 league games dating back to matchday two, and while they did drop points at home last week, we feel they will return to winning ways in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.92%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawAjax
43.84% (-0.365 -0.37) 23.13% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 33.03% (0.445 0.45)
Both teams to score 63.77% (0.483 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.52% (0.554 0.55)37.48% (-0.553 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.3% (0.59099999999999 0.59)59.7% (-0.591 -0.59)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.44% (0.076999999999998 0.08)17.56% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.9% (0.132 0.13)48.1% (-0.131 -0.13)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.35% (0.514 0.51)22.65% (-0.512 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.72% (0.758 0.76)56.28% (-0.75700000000001 -0.76)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 43.84%
    Ajax 33.03%
    Draw 23.13%
AZ AlkmaarDrawAjax
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.92% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.02% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.85% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 4%
Total : 43.84%
1-1 @ 10.27% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.64% (0.057 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.98% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.91% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.047 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.91% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.39% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.78% (0.08 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.29% (0.077 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.05 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 33.03%

How you voted: AZ vs Ajax

AZ Alkmaar
25.0%
Draw
23.2%
Ajax
51.8%
56
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 23
AZ
2-0
Ajax
Van Bommel (7', 67')
Bazoer (55'), Goes (79')
Oct 8, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 8
Ajax
1-2
AZ
Van den Boomen (73')
Bergwijn (50'), Vos (65')
Pavlidis (45'), De Wit (57')
Martins Indi (87')
May 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
Ajax
0-0
AZ
Sep 18, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 7
AZ
2-1
Ajax
De Wit (40'), Odgaard (45+5')
Kudus (12')
May 8, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 28
AZ
2-2
Ajax
Pavlidis (62'), Evjen (75')
Clasie (72'), Pavlidis (90+1'), Wijndal (90+4')
Brobbey (42'), Alvarez (86')
Klaassen (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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