MX23RW : Monday, January 13 15:50:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Ajax

AZ
2 - 1
Ajax

Parrott (65'), Lahdo (76')
Goes (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Godts (81')
Weghorst (36'), Sutalo (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Heracles
Sunday, December 1 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Utrecht
Wednesday, December 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 1-2 Ajax

 Ajax have been in excellent form this season, unbeaten in their last 12 league games dating back to matchday two, and while they did drop points at home last week, we feel they will return to winning ways in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.92%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawAjax
43.84% (-0.365 -0.37) 23.13% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 33.03% (0.445 0.45)
Both teams to score 63.77% (0.483 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.52% (0.554 0.55)37.48% (-0.553 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.3% (0.59099999999999 0.59)59.7% (-0.591 -0.59)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.44% (0.076999999999998 0.08)17.56% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.9% (0.132 0.13)48.1% (-0.131 -0.13)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.35% (0.514 0.51)22.65% (-0.512 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.72% (0.758 0.76)56.28% (-0.75700000000001 -0.76)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 43.84%
    Ajax 33.03%
    Draw 23.13%
AZ AlkmaarDrawAjax
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.92% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.02% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.85% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 4%
Total : 43.84%
1-1 @ 10.27% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.64% (0.057 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.98% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.91% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.047 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.91% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.39% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.78% (0.08 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.29% (0.077 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.05 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 33.03%

How you voted: AZ vs Ajax

AZ Alkmaar
25.0%
Draw
23.2%
Ajax
51.8%
56
Head to Head
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2-0
Ajax
Van Bommel (7', 67')
Bazoer (55'), Goes (79')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 8
Ajax
1-2
AZ
Van den Boomen (73')
Bergwijn (50'), Vos (65')
Pavlidis (45'), De Wit (57')
Martins Indi (87')
> Preview
May 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
Ajax
0-0
AZ
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 7
AZ
2-1
Ajax
De Wit (40'), Odgaard (45+5')
Kudus (12')
> Preview
May 8, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 28
AZ
2-2
Ajax
Pavlidis (62'), Evjen (75')
Clasie (72'), Pavlidis (90+1'), Wijndal (90+4')
Brobbey (42'), Alvarez (86')
Klaassen (78')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV18151261154646
2Ajax18133239172242
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1812333629739
4Feyenoord18105341231835
5FC Twente18104438231534
6AZ AlkmaarAZ18103533191433
7Go Ahead Eagles188463327628
8Fortuna SittardSittard187472528-325
9Heerenveen187382133-1224
10Willem II186482325-222
11NAC BredaNAC Breda1871102131-1022
12NECNijmegen1862102424020
13PEC Zwolle184591627-1117
14Groningen174581426-1217
15Heracles173681934-1515
16Sparta RotterdamSparta182791527-1213
17Almere CityAlmere City1824121037-2710
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1814131943-247
> Eredivisie Full Table


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