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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
36.48% ( 0.07) | 25.56% ( 0.09) | 37.95% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 55.74% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.76% ( -0.4) | 48.24% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.61% ( -0.37) | 70.39% ( 0.37) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.25% ( -0.15) | 25.74% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.32% ( -0.2) | 60.67% ( 0.2) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.07% ( -0.27) | 24.93% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.44% ( -0.37) | 59.56% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.48% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.78% Total : 37.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |