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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
50.89% (![]() | 22.22% (![]() | 26.89% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.08% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.3% (![]() | 36.69% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.14% (![]() | 58.86% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.31% (![]() | 14.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.14% (![]() | 42.86% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.93% (![]() | 26.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.89% (![]() | 61.11% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 9.47% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.34% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.04% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.06% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.07% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 4.28% Total : 50.89% | 1-1 @ 9.87% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.37% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.83% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.83% ( ![]() Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 6.64% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.3% Total : 26.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |