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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 79.18%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 7.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.91%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.39%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
79.18% ( 3.26) | 13.5% ( -1.67) | 7.31% ( -1.59) |
Both teams to score 46.92% ( -1.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.64% ( 2.36) | 34.36% ( -2.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.72% ( 2.62) | 56.27% ( -2.62) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.13% ( 1.21) | 6.86% ( -1.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.75% ( 3.14) | 25.25% ( -3.14) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.38% ( -2.12) | 49.61% ( 2.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.61% ( -1.53) | 84.39% ( 1.53) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
2-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.73) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.53) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.9) 4-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.35) 5-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.69) 5-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.4) 6-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.22) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.21% Total : 79.17% | 1-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.79) 0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 3% ( -0.36) Other @ 0.71% Total : 13.5% | 0-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.47) 1-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.43) Other @ 2.68% Total : 7.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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