Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.87%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 13.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.