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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
37.28% ( 0.32) | 26.25% ( -0.19) | 36.46% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 53.38% ( 0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.74% ( 0.78) | 51.25% ( -0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.91% ( 0.68) | 73.09% ( -0.68) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.3% ( 0.55) | 26.7% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.04% ( 0.72) | 61.96% ( -0.72) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.83% ( 0.29) | 27.17% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.42% ( 0.38) | 62.58% ( -0.38) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
1-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.33% 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.28% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |