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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Jan 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Excelsior

Sparta
1 - 0
Excelsior

Kitolano (90+1')
van Mullem (23')
FT(HT: 0-0)

van Duinen (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 0-0 Sparta
Saturday, January 7 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 1-0 Groningen
Sunday, January 8 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 SBV Excelsior

SBV Excelsior have struggled on their travels, while Sparta Rotterdam have managed to win five of their eight home games this season. We think the hosts will edge this one, and the Kralingers' troubles on the road will continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sparta Rotterdam.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawSBV Excelsior
48.41% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 24.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 26.89% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)48.04% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.79% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70.21% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.11% (0.010000000000005 0.01)19.89% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.98% (0.010999999999996 0.01)52.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.01% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)32% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)68.46% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 48.4%
    SBV Excelsior 26.89%
    Draw 24.7%
Sparta RotterdamDrawSBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.3% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 48.4%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 6.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 7.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 26.89%

How you voted: Sparta vs Excelsior

Sparta Rotterdam
Draw
SBV Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
86.7%
Draw
0.0%
SBV Excelsior
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2018 11.30am
Sparta
2-3
Excelsior
Massop (3' og.), Brogno (42' pen.)
Chabot (18'), Brogno (32'), Fischer (85'), Floranus (88')
Messaoud (5'), Van Duinen (44'), Hadouir (86')
Karami (30'), van Duinen (44'), de Wijs (66')
Oct 21, 2017 6.45pm
Excelsior
1-1
Sparta
Massop (54')
Koolwijk (60'), Mattheij (69'), Vermeulen (75'), de Wijs (85')
Goodwin (86')
Dougall (34'), Floranus (71')
Apr 7, 2017 7pm
Sparta
2-3
Excelsior
Brogno (10'), Pusic (87')
Hasselbaink (24', 48'), Van Duinen (44')
Fortes (50'), Hadouir (89')
Nov 19, 2016 7.45pm
Excelsior
3-2
Sparta
Elbers (26'), Ribeiro (30'), Hasselbaink (65')
Elbers (60')
Brogno (23'), Dumfries (73')
Verhaar (65'), Dumfries (83'), Breuer (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax30234362263673
2PSV EindhovenPSV30214589345567
3Feyenoord30188468323662
4FC UtrechtUtrecht31188561421962
5FC Twente30139856441248
6AZ AlkmaarAZ30138948341447
7Go Ahead Eagles2913795246646
8Heerenveen30107133853-1537
9Groningen3098133245-1335
10Heracles30811113752-1535
11Sparta RotterdamSparta29810113336-334
12NECNijmegen2996144243-133
13Fortuna SittardSittard2996143349-1633
14NAC BredaNAC Breda3088143250-1832
15PEC Zwolle30710133548-1331
16Willem II2966173049-1924
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3047193562-2719
18Almere CityAlmere City3047192159-3819


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