Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.55%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.