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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 |
5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Vitesse win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Vitesse |
60.99% | 22.09% | 16.92% |
Both teams to score 49.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.52% | 48.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.39% | 70.61% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.58% | 15.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.75% | 44.26% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.98% | 42.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.54% | 78.46% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Vitesse |
1-0 @ 12.11% 2-0 @ 11.32% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 6.12% 4-0 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-2 @ 1.24% 5-0 @ 1.23% 5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.21% Total : 60.98% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 0-0 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.09% | 0-1 @ 5.62% 1-2 @ 4.55% 0-2 @ 2.44% 1-3 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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