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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 |
5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Vitesse win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Vitesse |
60.99% | 22.09% | 16.92% |
Both teams to score 49.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.52% | 48.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.39% | 70.61% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.58% | 15.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.75% | 44.26% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.98% | 42.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.54% | 78.46% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Vitesse |
1-0 @ 12.11% 2-0 @ 11.32% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 6.12% 4-0 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-2 @ 1.24% 5-0 @ 1.23% 5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.21% Total : 60.98% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 0-0 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.09% | 0-1 @ 5.62% 1-2 @ 4.55% 0-2 @ 2.44% 1-3 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |