Eredivisie | Gameweek 29

May 7, 2022 at 8pm UK

Euroborg

Groningen
1 - 2
Sparta

Meijer (77')
Strand Larsen (52')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Verschueren (20'), Thy (57')
van Crooij (88'), Heylen (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

Last Six:

Last Game: Groningen 2-3 Cambuur
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Go Ahead Eagles	33	-12	36
11	Groningen	33	-13	36
12	Cambuur	33	-18	36

Sparta Rotterdam

Last Six:

Last Game: Heracles 1-3 Sparta
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Heracles	33	-14	34
15	Sparta Rotterdam	33	-20	32
16	Fortuna Sittard	33	-32	32

We said: Groningen 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam

Judging by previous meetings, we expect another tightly-contested affair in this one with the sides settling for a point apiece at the end of the 90 minutes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Groningen win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw has a probability of 25.2% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam has a probability of 20.65%.

The most likely scoreline is Groningen 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam with a probability of 13.65% and the second most likely scoreline is Groningen 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam with a probability of 11.86%.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 20.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Groningen	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
54.1%	25.25%	20.65%

Both teams to score 46.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.29%

55.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.14%

76.85%

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.39%

20.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.85%

53.15%

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.04%

41.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.6%

78.39%

Score Analysis

Groningen 54.09%

Sparta Rotterdam 20.65%

Draw 25.25%

Groningen	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 13.65% 2-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 9.37% 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 4.93% 4-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.95% Other @ 3.34% Total : 54.09%	1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 8.64% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.68% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 7.51% 1-2 @ 5.15% 0-2 @ 3.26% 1-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.18% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.11% Total : 20.65%