Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
