MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 16:36:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Groningen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Jan 25, 2025 at 8pm UK
Euroborg
Heerenveen

Groningen
1 - 0
Heerenveen

Valente (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 Groningen
Saturday, January 18 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 0-2 Ajax
Sunday, January 19 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Groningen 1-0 Heerenveen

In a game featuring two of the lowest-scoring teams so far, we are expecting a tight and nervy contest with little goalmouth action. That said, we can see the home side narrowly coming out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Groningen in this match.

Result
GroningenDrawHeerenveen
48.69% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 24.49% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 26.82% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.14% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.85% (0.052999999999997 0.05)47.14% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.62% (0.048999999999999 0.05)69.38% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.58% (0.055999999999997 0.06)19.42% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.75% (0.093000000000004 0.09)51.25% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.42% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)31.57% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.02% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)67.98% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Groningen 48.68%
    Heerenveen 26.82%
    Draw 24.48%
GroningenDrawHeerenveen
1-0 @ 10.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.5% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 48.68%
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.48%
0-1 @ 7.07% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 26.82%

How you voted: Groningen vs Heerenveen

Groningen
57.1%
Draw
25.0%
Heerenveen
17.9%
56
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 11.15am
Gameweek 6
Heerenveen
2-1
Groningen
Trenskow (12'), Nicolaescu (69')
Nicolaescu (70')
Valente (9')
Vaessen (86'), Mendes (90'), Valente (90')
Peersman (63'), Darri Willumsson (82')
Mar 19, 2023 11.15am
Jan 22, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 17
Heerenveen
3-1
Groningen
Sarr (5', 82'), Van Amersfoort (81')
Kruger (40')
Apr 10, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 26
Heerenveen
3-1
Groningen
Van Hooijdonk (7', 53'), Van Beek (80')
Kaib (42'), Dresevic (65')
Sep 12, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 4
Groningen
1-1
Heerenveen
Ngonge (68')
Duarte (59'), te Wierik (70'), Buijs (90+1')
te Wierik (84')
Halilovic (19')
Madsen (45'), Halilovic (70'), Woudenberg (79'), Stevanovic (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV20161365204549
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2012533730741
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ20104634211334
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard207492736-925
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2081112535-1025
10Heerenveen2073102136-1524
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II206592428-423
13PEC Zwolle206592329-623
14Groningen205691729-1221
15Heracles204882336-1320
16Sparta RotterdamSparta203891829-1117
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2025132244-2211
18Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910


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