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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Groningen in this match.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | Heerenveen |
48.69% ( 0.09) | 24.49% ( -0.02) | 26.82% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 55.14% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.85% ( 0.05) | 47.14% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.62% ( 0.05) | 69.38% ( -0.05) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.58% ( 0.06) | 19.42% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.75% ( 0.09) | 51.25% ( -0.09) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.42% ( -0.02) | 31.57% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.02% ( -0.02) | 67.98% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | Heerenveen |
1-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 48.68% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 26.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 65 | 20 | 45 | 49 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 41 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Groningen | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 21 |
15 | Heracles | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 20 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 17 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 11 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
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