Eredivisie | Gameweek 22
Feb 8, 2025 at 7pm UK
Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium
Groningen2 - 1Nijmegen
We said: Groningen 1-1 NEC
Groningen's strong home form, built on defensive solidity, gives them a fighting chance, while NEC, buoyed by their recent success against the hosts and their current form, enters with added confidence, setting the stage for a tight, low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for NEC had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | NEC |
44.63% ( 0.01) | 26.28% ( 0) | 29.08% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.06% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.78% ( -0.01) | 53.22% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.22% ( -0.01) | 74.79% ( 0.01) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.26% | 23.74% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.12% | 57.88% ( 0) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.96% ( -0.01) | 33.04% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.37% ( -0.01) | 69.63% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Groningen 44.64%
NEC 29.08%
Draw 26.28%
| Groningen | Draw | NEC |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.31% 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.75% Total : 44.64% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 8.69% 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.08% |
How you voted: Groningen vs Nijmegen
Groningen
31.9%Draw
27.7%NEC
40.4%47
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 11
Nijmegen
6-0
Groningen
Apr 25, 2023 2pm
Aug 26, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 4
Nijmegen
1-1
Groningen
Mar 12, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 23
Groningen
4-3
Nijmegen
De Leeuw (2'), Strand Larsen (22'), Postema (80', 90+1')
Strand Larsen (17'), El Hankouri (60'), Duarte (75'), Irandust (87')
Strand Larsen (17'), El Hankouri (60'), Duarte (75'), Irandust (87')
Form Guide
