Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion
AZ1 - 0Legia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AZ 4-0 Sittard
Sunday, October 1 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, October 1 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Jagiellonia 2-0 Legia
Sunday, October 1 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, October 1 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-2 Legia Warsaw
Both sitting second domestically and capable of scoring from all angles, two confident sides will convene for what could be another Group E thriller on Thursday night. With home advantage in their favour and lots of recent European experience behind them, AZ can just edge Legia out and join them on three points apiece in the standings. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Legia Warsaw win it was 1-2 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
62.84% ( 0.06) | 19.66% ( -0.02) | 17.5% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.52% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
