MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 19:06:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
GelreDome
AZ Alkmaar

Vitesse
0 - 2
AZ


Kozlowski (33'), Isimat-Mirin (36'), Arcus (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pavlidis (49', 64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitesse 1-3 PSV
Saturday, August 19 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Brann 3-3 AZ (5-6 pen.)
Thursday, August 31 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Vitesse 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

Goals have been a constant feature of this fixture, and we expect this one to be no different. That said, we are tipping the away side to narrowly pip their hosts to all three points come the end of the 90 minutes here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
VitesseDrawAZ Alkmaar
30.6% (0.728 0.73) 25.73% (0.029999999999998 0.03) 43.68% (-0.758 -0.76)
Both teams to score 53.6% (0.279 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69% (0.187 0.19)50.31% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74% (0.166 0.17)72.26% (-0.16600000000001 -0.17)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56% (0.61 0.61)30.45% (-0.61 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.35% (0.717 0.72)66.65% (-0.717 -0.72)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06% (-0.279 -0.28)22.94% (0.278 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28% (-0.412 -0.41)56.72% (0.413 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 30.6%
    AZ Alkmaar 43.67%
    Draw 25.72%
VitesseDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.077 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.27% (0.128 0.13)
2-0 @ 4.94% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 2.88% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.96% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 30.6%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 10.28% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 9% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.57% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.71% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.37% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 43.67%

How you voted: Vitesse vs AZ

Vitesse
5.3%
Draw
10.5%
AZ Alkmaar
84.2%
19
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 24
Vitesse
0-1
AZ
Karlsson (29')
Jan 7, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 15
AZ
1-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (77')
Sankoh (87')
May 29, 2022 1.30pm
AZ
6-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (3'), Reijnders (13', 52'), De Wit (41'), Karlsson (75', 89')
Evjen (8')
Bazoer (78')
Bero (29'), Tronstad (69'), Openda (69')
May 26, 2022 7pm
Vitesse
2-1
AZ
Buitink (22'), Openda (86')
Hajek (49')
Clasie (59')
Apr 2, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 25
AZ
3-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (32'), Rasmussen (56' og.), Karlsson (83' pen.)
Pavlidis (77')
Tronstad (63')
Bero (58'), Wittek (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Rams
@
Bears
6pm
Eagles
@
Buccaneers
6pm
Steelers
@
Colts
6pm
Saints
@
Falcons
6pm
Broncos
@
Jets
6pm
Vikings
@
Packers
6pm
Bengals
@
Panthers
6pm
Jags
@
Texans
9.05pm
Patriots
@
49ers
9.05pm
Washington
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Browns
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV77002542121
2AZ AlkmaarAZ65101621416
3FC Twente7421135814
4FC UtrechtUtrecht541095413
5Ajax5311103710
6Feyenoord6240126610
7Sparta RotterdamSparta724187110
8Go Ahead Eagles731369-310
9Groningen723210829
10Heracles723269-39
11Willem II722310918
12NECNijmegen721478-17
13PEC Zwolle7214710-37
14Fortuna SittardSittard7214713-67
15Heerenveen7214916-77
16NAC BredaNAC Breda7205514-96
17Almere CityAlmere City7025218-162
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk7007319-160


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!