AZ4 - 0Sittard
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, September 28 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Friday, September 22 at 7pm in Eredivisie
We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Fortuna Sittard
Aiming to bounce back from a first setback of the season in midweek, we see AZ Alkmaar being far too strong for Sunday's visitors and making a return to winning ways in dominant fashion on home turf. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 74.63%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 10.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 3-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
74.63% ( 0.46) | 15.16% ( -0.22) | 10.22% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 54.23% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.95% ( 0.37) | 32.05% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.38% ( 0.43) | 53.62% ( -0.43) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.74% ( 0.18) | 7.26% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 73.7% ( 0.46) | 26.3% ( -0.46) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.47% ( -0.17) | 41.53% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.98% ( -0.15) | 78.02% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.62% Total : 74.62% | 1-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.16% | 1-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.18% Total : 10.22% |
