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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 18.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
60.44% (![]() | 21.44% (![]() | 18.12% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.46% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.23% (![]() | 43.77% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.84% (![]() | 66.16% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.96% (![]() | 14.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.39% (![]() | 41.61% (![]() |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.19% (![]() | 37.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.42% (![]() | 74.58% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
1-0 @ 10.42% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.23% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.95% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.69% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.51% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 2.88% Total : 60.44% | 1-1 @ 10.13% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.31% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.84% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.44% | 0-1 @ 5.16% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.57% ( ![]() Other @ 2.35% Total : 18.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |