Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vitesse 0-2 AZ
Sunday, September 3 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, September 3 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 1-1 Nijmegen
Friday, September 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Friday, September 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie
We said: AZ Alkmaar 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam
AZ have commenced the 2023-24 term superbly in the Eredivisie and on the continent, and Jansen's charges will be confident of making it four successive wins in the league on Sunday. Sparta have won both of their league outings so far this season, but we are expecting the side from Rotterdam to suffer their first loss of the campaign at AFAS Stadion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 18.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
60.44% ( -0.84) | 21.44% ( 0.01) | 18.12% ( 0.84) |
| Both teams to score 53.46% ( 1.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
