Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
Derry2 - 1KuPS
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Derry City and KuPS.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derry 1-0 Torshavn
Thursday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Inter Turku 1-1 KuPS
Monday, July 17 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Monday, July 17 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 47.16%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for KuPS had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a KuPS win it was 0-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | KuPS |
47.16% ( 0.01) | 28.03% ( -0) | 24.8% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
