Derry have struggled in recent times but now face a Cork side who have been unable to pick up results on the road so far this term in the League of Ireland. The Rebel Army are giving themselves a chance of staying up this term after a dreadful start, but we can see them recording back-to-back losses when they visit Derry on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 67.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Cork City had a probability of 12.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.93%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cork City win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Derry City	Draw	Cork City
67.26% ( 0.52)	20.72% ( 0.01)	12.02% ( -0.53)

Both teams to score 41.3% (

-1.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.65% (

-1.19)

52.35% (

1.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.96% (

-1.03)

74.03% (

1.03)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.31% (

-0.22)

14.69% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.14% (

-0.42)

42.86% (

0.42)

Cork City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.41% (

-1.64)

51.59% (

1.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.27% (

-1.11)

85.73% (

1.11)

Score Analysis

Derry City 67.25%

Cork City 12.02%

Draw 20.72%

Derry City	Draw	Cork City
1-0 @ 14.53% ( 0.56) 2-0 @ 13.93% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.04% Total : 67.25%	1-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.47% Total : 20.72%	0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.16% Total : 12.02%