League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 22
Jun 30, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Tolka Park
Shelbourne1 - 1Derry
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Patrick's 1-0 Shelbourne
Friday, June 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, June 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Shamrock 1-0 Derry
Monday, June 26 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Monday, June 26 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
30
We said: Shelbourne 1-0 Derry City
Shelbourne should be the fresher team having not featured since last Friday, whereas Derry could be demoralised and fatigued after their 1-0 defeat to Shamrock on Monday allowed the reigning champions to extend their gap at the top of the table. As such, we can envisage Duff's side returning to winning ways at Tolka Park, with this unlikely to be a high-scoring classic given the hosts' paucity of goals at either end of the pitch so far this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | Derry City |
30.52% ( 0.02) | 28.21% ( 0) | 41.27% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.16% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
